Bayesian statistics archaeological dating
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Fortunately, I have math on my side, and a tool that will let me update and re-evaluate the odds that my date is going well, based on the events of the date. Bayes' Theorem might be the coolest thing in probability theory.
In the words of Claude Lévi-Strauss (1966, 258) in ‘there is no history without dates’.
Fundamentally, the aim of my research is to rescue archaeology from the mire of fuzzy chronology to which visual inspection of calibrated radiocarbon dates consigns us, and to reclaim ‘time of the middling sort’ for our, particularly prehistoric, narratives.
If you are an archaeologist who can write simple programs and understand the mathematics of the papers, and are prepared to learn enough about MCMC to check that the output is reliable, then this is for you.
If you are a statistician looking for interesting problems then this is also for you.